Large language models surpass human experts in predicting neuroscience results

The next meeting of the seminar „Philosophy of Cognitive Science” will take place on April, 4th, at 10:30 (AM Warsaw, CET). Our guest will be Bradley C. Love (University College London & The Alan Turing Institute). We will discuss a multiauthored draft: Large language models surpass human experts in predicting neuroscience results

Introduction: Scientific discoveries often hinge on synthesizing decades of research, a task that potentially outstrips human information processing capacities. Large language models (LLMs) offer a solution. LLMs trained on the vast scientific literature could potentially integrate noisy yet interrelated findings to forecast novel results better than human experts. To evaluate this possibility, we created BrainBench, a forward-looking benchmark for predicting neuroscience results. We find that LLMs surpass experts in predicting experimental outcomes. BrainGPT, an LLM we tuned on the neuroscience literature, performed better yet. Like human experts, when LLMs were confident in their predictions, they were more likely to be correct, which presages a future where humans and LLMs team together to make discoveries. Our approach is not neuroscience-specific and is transferable to other knowledge-intensive endeavors.

This time we will meet  online at GoogleMeet (email: pnowakowski@ifispan.edu.pl for the link).

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